Warming up for a few days, then a weekend cold front
We can expect some warmer afternoons through late week and even on Saturday. But, a cold front moves in Saturday bring some rain, then much colder air for Sunday
Some lingering cloud cover early Thursday, then sunshine returning for midday and the afternoon. Temperatures should be "normal" for this time of year with afternoon highs ranging from the upper 50s to lower 60s. A bit colder Thursday Night under a clear sky. Overnight temperatures should drop into the mid/upper 30s. After the chilly start Friday, expect a sunny to partly sunny sky and afternoon highs warming into the mid 60s.
Even with an approaching cold front Saturday, the 60s should stick around for at least one more afternoon before the chill settles in Sunday.
SATURDAY AFTERNOON SHOWERS
A cold front approaches the Tennessee Valley during the day Saturday. As mentioned above, the southerly flow in advance of the front should help boost temperatures into the low/mid 60s along with a cloudy sky. Showers should begin moving in especially for mid/late afternoon. The showers should stick around through the evening hours. Severe storms are not expected with this front. And, rainfall amounts do not appear to be that heavy. Rainfall projections from forecast models range from 0.30" by the GFS Model and up to 0.60" by the European Model. The rain should taper off late in the night and before the cold air moves in.
BREEZY AND COLDER SUNDAY
A brisk northerly wind for most of the day Sunday ushers in some much colder air. Sunny, but chilly with morning temperatures in the upper 30s, then upper 40s to near 50 by the afternoon. Even colder Sunday Night and through Monday Morning as temperatures dip to between the upper 20s to around 30.
THANKSGIVING WEEK OUTLOOK
We will continue to keep you updated on the Thanksgiving outlook. The holiday week starts dry, but chilly on Monday with a partly sunny sky and highs in the lower 50s. Cool and dry again Tuesday with 30s during the morning and mid 50s for the afternoon.
Forecast models have been back and forth on a possible shower chance for the big travel day on Wednesday. For now, that chance looks small, but we will continue to watch the trends.
Likewise, models on back and forth on the arrival time of another possible surge of colder air. Both the GFS and European Model had that surge arriving on Thanksgiving Day based on model data the past few days. However, the models have delayed that arrival just a bit to possibly into the weekend following Thanksgiving. So, still some uncertainty there. The current outlook for Thanksgiving Day looks dry with a mix of clouds and sun. Morning lows in the 30s and afternoon highs in the 50s.
As always, you can depend on the StormTrack 9 Team to keep you updated!