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Tracking our next rain chance on Thursday

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November has been much drier than normal, but some showers could be on the way for Thursday Afternoon and Evening

DRY AGAIN WEDNESDAY

Wednesday should begin sunny, but followed by increasing cloud cover. Another chilly start in the upper 30s, then mid to even upper 60s by the afternoon. A southerly flow should help warm the temperatures even with the additional cloud cover. The lingering clouds Wednesday Night should hold temperatures in the mid/upper 40s through early Thursday.

SHOWERS THURSDAY AFTERNOON & EVENING

An approaching cold front could bring a few sprinkles or patchy light rain early Thursday Morning. However, aside from that small rain chance, expect the best coverage of showers locally to be during the afternoon and evening hours. As mentioned in a previous post, the risk of any severe weather remains very low. Projected rainfall amounts are not heavy either. The GFS and European Model projects the lightest amounts with under 0.20". The NAM model has over double that amount at around 0.50" through Thursday Evening. Most of the shower activity should end quickly during the overnight hours and into Friday Morning.

DRIER & SEASONABLE FRIDAY

Some scattered clouds should linger Friday, but overall a drier day along with a light northerly breeze. Afternoon temperatures should range in the upper 50s to lower 60s which is just a tad above average.

The upcoming weekend has some cloud cover Saturday with low 60s again. A few sprinkles cannot be ruled out Saturday, but that chance remains very low. More sunshine heading into Sunday with morning lows in the upper 30s and afternoon highs in the low 60s.

SO, WHEN WILL IT GET COLD?

With December about to start and highs remaining in the 60s, you know it can't be long until some cold air returns. Well, it looks as if that might happen for mid to late next week. A rather impressive looking pattern with a cold front producing rain locally from Tuesday Night through Wednesday, then ending Thursday Morning. Rainfall amounts could average around 2", Still warm in the 60s ahead of the front through Wednesday, then much colder with projected high temperatures only in the 40s by next Friday. This could be followed by several more shots of cold air during the weekend of the 9th and into the week of the 11th.

So, enjoy the mild temperatures now, a chill could be on the way!

David Glenn

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