Flood Watch/Warnings through Thursday (Updated Thur AM)
FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING
A line of heavier rain continues to slowly move East in to the Blue Ridge mountains and NC. For the rest of the morning, expect light rain, becoming more scattered by lunchtime. Additional .25" still possible. Flash flooding concerns are easing, however need to monitor.
2 Rivers of concern. For the rest of today, Lookout Creek and tomorrow, watching S. Chick creek. No Major flooding expected to impact homes and roads, but will watch.
Rain ends this afternoon, but breezy. Cooler tonight, lows in the 30s, 40s. Sunny tomorrow.
6AM Thursday Update
A line of heavier rain is currently moving slowly east. While this line is "thinner" the heavy rain will lead to excessive runoff on roads and flash flooding possible. There are already several roads that are impacted this AM due to runoff.
More light to moderate rain will continue the rest of the morning. Additional 1/2-1" of rain possible. Can't rule out some thunder.
Windy conditions this AM and again this afternoon. Rain should end by this afternoon.
Wednesday Night Update
Heavy rain moves through during the night and through Thursday Morning. Through 5pm, the rainfall total at Lovell Field was 1.89" which is a daily record for February 28th. And, this total will continue to climb through midnight. This could also push our final monthly total for February over 9". Additional rainfall overnight and into Thursday could be in the 1.50" to 2.50" range which could bring the 2 day rainfall total to between 3"-4" (and some isolated locally higher amounts).
Flash flooding could result from the rain overnight and into Thursday Morning. So, expect delays and possible detours during your morning commute. If you live in a flood prone area, please be prepared to move to higher ground should flash flooding occur. The runoff from this heavy rain could keep area creeks and rivers above flood stage through the start of the weekend.
Heavier downpours should taper during the afternoon on Thursday.
The ground remains saturated from over 6" of rain that we have received since February 1st. The upcoming chance for rain Wednesday and Thursday could produce on average between 2"-3" of rain, but some isolated amounts could reach 3.50" to 4.00". This could result in flooding and quite rapidly as the heavier pockets of rain arrive Wednesday Night and Thursday Morning.
The first round of rain arrives before sunrise Wednesday as a warm front moves through the Southeast and Tennessee Valley. Off and on periods of rain Wednesday. This first round does not appear heavy. There could be some breaks at times during the afternoon. The next round of rain arrives Wednesday Evening. Through the night, expect a continuation of rain, but it could be heavy at times through Thursday Morning. The first half of Thursday still looks wet with off and on periods of rain, but then tapering off through late afternoon.
The overall risk of severe weather remains low with the best chance farther to our west over the central and lower Mississippi Valley. Locally, we could have some embedded thunderstorms, but the risk of severe storms remains low. As always, we will keep you updated!
Drier, breezy and cooler Thursday Night as temperatures dip into the upper 30s. Friday should be dry, breezy and cool with afternoon highs in the mid 50s.
The upcoming weekend looks dry with chilly mornings in the low/mid 30s both days. Sunny Saturday Afternoon with highs in the upper 50s. Then, sunny to partly sunny Sunday with afternoon highs in the low/mid 60s.
As always, you can depend on the StormTrack 9 Team for updates!
David Glenn/Brian Smith