An unsettled weather pattern this week
An unsettled weather pattern of off and on t-showers can be expected for the remainder of the work week. Some peeks of sun at times, but some heavy rainfall at times as well
A cool front should stall to the south of our local viewing area Tuesday. This should continue to provide some showers and thunder, especially during the morning hours locally. Then, shift to the south as the day goes on. By afternoon, there could be a mix of clouds and sun with mainly a scattering of t-showers. With the front stalled to our south, the pattern will mainly be that of just scattered t-showers through Wednesday, otherwise a mix of clouds and sun. So, there will be times where you can do some outdoor activities, but be aware that heavy downpours are possible as showers/t-showers pass by.
By Thursday, the stalled front lifts back over our viewing area as a warm front. This along with the approach of a low pressure system could create a better coverage of rain and t-storms locally for Thursday. Again, some heavy downpours could occur through most of the day. Rainfall amounts vary among various forecast models. The NAM and GFS (US models) project amounts from 0.50" to 1". But, the European model projects a greater potential of heavy rain Thursday with a 1"-2" forecast. Either way, with an already saturated ground, the risk of some flash flooding is a concern as localized heavy downpours are possible.
If that low pressure system moves through, then the local rain chances could drop off quite a bit from Friday. But, should the front stall, then the widespread coverage of rain and storms could continue. So, that is what we'll keep an eye on in the days ahead!
As always, you can depend on the StormTrack 9 Team for updates!